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Fleet Registration Trends: Will Light-Duty Keep Outpacing Medium- and Heavy-Duty?

S&P Global Mobility’s Mark Hazel breaks down the latest commercial vehicle trends — from light-duty growth and tariff-driven declines to the real story behind EV adoption, hybrid potential, and fleet consolidation.

Chris Brown
Chris BrownAssociate Publisher
Read Chris's Posts
March 30, 2026

Chris Brown sits down with Mark Hazel of S&P Global Mobility to analyze the latest vehicle registration data affecting the fleet industry.


Hazel explains how 2024–2025 played out as a “flat” year overall — but with dramatically different outcomes across vehicle classes. Light-duty segments saw growth fueled by strong demand in construction and service industries, while medium- and heavy-duty fleets were hit hard by tariff uncertainty.


The conversation also explores how powertrain trends are evolving. While EV adoption continues, it remains concentrated in specific use cases, such as last-mile delivery. Meanwhile, gasoline vehicles have increased share over time, diesel has declined slightly, and hybrids are emerging as a potential growth area in the commercial space.


🧭 Topics Discussed

  • Light-duty growth vs. medium/heavy-duty decline

  • Fleet demand driven by construction and service sectors 

  • EV adoption realities in commercial fleets 

  • Hybrid powertrain growth potential 

  • Fleet consolidation and private equity influence 

  • Medium/heavy-duty rebound forecast 

  • Emerging role of autonomy in long-haul trucking


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