Traffic Fatality Estimates Rise for This Year’s Holidays
The National Safety Council's traffic fatality estimates for the Christmas Day and New Year’s Day holiday periods reflect the potential impact of the two four-day weekends.
Photo courtesy of the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration.
Photo courtesy of the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration.
The National Safety Council released its traffic fatality estimates for the holidays, indicating 366 deaths for the Christmas Day holiday period and 421 deaths for the New Year’s Day holiday period.
Moreover, NSC estimates that another 39,200 injuries requiring medical attention may occur because of car crashes during the Christmas Day holiday period. An estimated 45,000 such injuries may result from collisions during the New Year’s Day holiday period, the group added.
Seat belts could save an estimated 134 lives during the Christmas Day holiday period and 154 lives during the New Year’s Day holiday period, NSC said.
“The holiday season is supposed to be the most wonderful time of the year,” said Deborah A.P. Hersman, NSC president and CEO. “Sadly, we could be facing two especially deadly holiday periods, since each will include a long four-day weekend. Families should take extra precaution on our highways to avoid unnecessary tragedies."
NSC recommends the following tips to stay safe:
Buckle up every trip, every time – even when traveling short distances
Refrain from using electronic devices – including hands-free – behind the wheel.
Secure children in size-appropriate restraints.
Do not drink and drive, as impairment begins with the first drink. If you drink, designate a sober driver or take alternate transportation.
Plan ahead and drive defensively, especially during bad weather.
Never drive when you are tired. Get plenty of sleep before your trip and plan regular stops.
The Christmas Day holiday period begins at 6 p.m. Wednesday, Dec. 24, and ends at 11:59 p.m. Sunday, Dec. 28. The New Year’s Day holiday period begins at 6 p.m. Wednesday, Dec. 31, and ends at 11:59 p.m. Sunday, Jan. 4, 2015.
Evaluation of Recent Christmas Day Holiday Period Estimates
YEAR | NO. OF DAYS | ESTIMATE | 90% CONFIDENCE INTERVAL | ACTUAL |
2008 | 4.25 | 432 | 371-500 | 409 |
2009 | 3.25 | 317 | 253-388 | 248 |
2010 | 3.25 | 303 | 233-384 | 249 |
2011 | 3.25 | 287 | 220-365 | 256 |
2012 | 4.25 | 377 | 320-441 | 351 |
Evaluation of Recent New Year's Day Holiday Period Estimates
YEAR | NO. OF DAYS | ESTIMATE | 90% CONFIDENCE INTERVAL | ACTUAL |
2008 | 4.25 | 498 | 447-555 | 407 |
2009 | 4.25 | 445 | 394-502 | 458 |
2010 | 3.25 | 301 | 260-347 | 286 |
2011 | 3.25 | 308 | 259-364 | 304 |
2012 | 3.25 | 297 | 249-353 | 348 |
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