February New-Vehicle Sales to Decline 3%, KBB Says
New-vehicle sales are expected to be down 3% compared to the same time last year, for a total of 1.3 million retail and fleet vehicles sales during February, which lowers the estimated seasonally adjusted annual rate (SAAR) to 17.1 million compared to February 2016’s 17.6 million SAAR.
New-vehicle sales are expected to be down 3% compared to the same time last year, for a total of 1.3 million retail and fleet vehicles sales during February, which lowers the estimated seasonally adjusted annual rate (SAAR) to 17.1 million compared to February 2016’s 17.6 million SAAR, according to Kelley Blue Book.
"Retail growth for manufacturers will be tough to achieve in February, as consumer demand remains relatively flat despite increased incentives," said Tim Fleming, analyst for Kelley Blue Book. "Regardless of the expected dip in overall volume, at a SAAR of more than 17 million, the sales pace for the industry is healthy, and more importantly, looks to be sustainable as we head into the high volume selling months ahead."
Retail sales in February are expected to account for 73.9% of sales, while fleet sales will account for 26.1%. General Motors, Ford Motor Co., and Toyota Motor Co. are expected to claim the top three spots in terms of sales volume.
Additionally, Subaru of America is poised to realize another record sales month in February thanks to the strength of its crossover utility vehicles like the Outback and Forester, KBB added.
"In addition, the all-new Impreza, which is now on sale, will provide a short-term boost to the automaker, but longer-term prospects for the small car segment remain bleak. Subaru has aggressive growth targets for 2017, but they currently stand in a great position as the brand with the lowest incentive spending and fastest-selling inventory in the industry,” said Fleming.
Fiat Chrysler, on the other hand, could potentially experience its biggest sales decline in February, according to KBB. The OEM is expected to see sales volume fall across the board.
In terms of vehicle segments, the utility segment is expected to sell the most units in February. Compact SUV/crossovers are expected to sell approximately 223,000 units, 2.2% more than last year, while mid-size SUV/crossovers are expected to sell 166,000 units, 5.2% more year-over-year. Light trucks as a whole, are expected to make up 63% of sales in the month, a 4% year-over-year increase.
Alternatively, compact and mid-size cars are expected to see sales decline by 10.9% and 20.9%, respectively.
More Operations

Managing Fleet Costs in an Era of Permanent Volatility
Fleet operating costs have risen more than 20% since 2020, raising a key question: When does extending a vehicle's service life stop making financial sense?
Read More →
The Next Evolution of Fleet Management: Autonomous Operations
This opening keynote session at the Fleet Forward Conference highlights the future of autonomous driving for fleets.
Read More →
How to Reduce the Total Cost of Risk From Catalytic Converter Theft
A stolen catalytic converter can cost fleets far more in downtime and lost productivity than in repairs. A total-cost-of-risk approach can help fleet managers quantify their exposure and prioritize theft prevention.
Read More →
Personal-Use Charges Rise as Vehicle Values Fall | AF News Recap
Personal-use charges are climbing, wholesale used-vehicle values are declining, and commercial fleet sales growth is slowing. This week, we're breaking down the latest fleet data, plus how Element Fleet Management is helping Waymo prepare for its first Canadian robotaxi market.
Read More →
Here's When You Should Make an Exception to Fleet Policy
Fleet policies are designed to create consistency, but not every driver or situation fits neatly within standard rules.
Read More →
AI-Native or AI-Acquired: What Should Fleet Managers Look for in an AI Platform?
Six questions can help fleet managers look beyond AI marketing claims to evaluate integration, data access, and real-world operational performance.
Read More →
A buyer's guide to fleet management software in 2027
Buying fleet management software in 2027 means looking beyond features and price. As fleet operations, technology and expectations evolve, this guide explores what today’s fleet professionals should consider when choosing a system that can deliver value now and adapt to what comes next.
Read More →
What Will Shape the Next Era of Fleet Management?
EVs, AI, and autonomous vehicles are reshaping fleet management. Discover what’s ahead—and how fleet leaders can prepare for the next era.
Read More →
How Fleets Can Recruit and Train Veterans for Technician Roles
Here's how the technician shortage has affected uptime for fleets, and what to do about it.
Read More →
Avis Budget Group Deploys Neology Toll Management Technology Across Major Brands
Neology’s neoFleet platform will manage toll transactions and toll-authority operations for vehicles across Avis, Budget, Payless, Budget Truck and Zipcar.
Read More →
