Experts Forecast the 2019 Used Vehicle Market
Prices and volume are not expected to plummet in 2019, but industry experts seem to feel that the best-case scenario will be a plateau, and more realistically, will fall slightly.
Prices and volume are not expected to plummet in 2019, but industry experts seem to feel that the best-case scenario will be a plateau, and more realistically, will fall slightly.
Vehicle manufacturers will sell 17 million new vehicles in 2019, which would represent only a 1.3% decline from a year that recorded a third consecutive year of more than 17 million new vehicles sold, according to Oliver Strauss, chief economist for TrueCar’s ALG.
The passenger car segment was a main contributor to the the rise in used-vehicle prices in 2018.
The average transaction price for a new vehicle in the U.S. was $37,577 in December 2018, a 1.3% increase from the same time in 2017.
CAR is a joint conference between Bobit Business Media, the National Auto Auction Association, and the International Automotive Remarketers Alliance.
Asset disposition solutions provider Remarketing by Element, a business unit of Element Fleet Management, has joined the National Independent Automobile Dealers Association's network of National Member Benefit partners.
Overall average wholesale prices softened in November from a year ago mostly due to 2017 prices that were elevated due to increased demand from hurricanes Harvey and Irma, even though values of former fleet vehicles increased, according to Tom Kontos, KAR Auction Services' chief economist.
The average 12-month depreciation through the end of November for all vehicles was 12.5%.
The average price for used fleet vehicles fell 2% at auction in October, but remained 6.1% higher than a year ago amid a strong month for wholesale prices, according to Tom Kontos, KAR Auction Services' chief economist.
Deprecation was low through most of 2018. Segments such as sedans performed better than they have in years past, while trucks and SUVs continue to retain their values well.
ALG has named Subaru and Land Rover as the winners of its 2019 Residual Value Awards for the overall mainstream and premium brand categories, according to a company announcement.
Ford and Toyota had the most models named as having the best certified pre-owned value among 37 segments by Vincentric, the vehicle valuation firm announced.
Wholesale compact van values experienced the biggest decline at auction last week, depreciating 1.03% week-over-week.
General Motors Financial Company Inc. reported operating lease originations for the nine months ended Sept. 30, 2018 at $17.3 billion, compared to $19.6 billion for the nine months ended Sept. 30, 2017.
Record-setting orders for new Class 8 trucks are apparently not creating a used-truck glut, if used-truck prices are any indication. However, the growth in prices is expected to slow.
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