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Over the last two weeks, Manheim Market Report (MMR) prices declined an aggregate of 1.9%, which was more than the normal decline of 1% for the time of year.
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Wholesale used-vehicle prices decreased 2.3% in October from September and were down 4% from a year ago.
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Supply chains have stabilized while market headwinds from high interest rates and high prices are muting sales.
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October’s price decline is eerily similar to last October’s 2.2% drop, and this was not unexpected as the market remains balanced.
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While the UAW strike has slowed output at auto factories nationwide, the fallout has not fully hit consumers in dealer showrooms.
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Almost all major market segments saw seasonally adjusted prices that were again lower year over year in the first half of October.
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The overall used-vehicle inventory volume is still considered limited and has been stuck in the 2.2 million to 2.3 million range for the past four months.
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Since the labor actions started Sept. 15, the U.S. has ample inventory for now from the Detroit automakers that should keep steady supply through the end of the month. The all-important Ford F-150 had 97 days of supply at the start of October.
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During the last two weeks, Manheim Market Report (MMR) prices declined an aggregate of 0.3%, which was less than half of the normal decline for this time of year.
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Analysis: The actions of the UAW will reverberate through the larger auto business, but nowhere near what was experienced in April 2020. Sales into fleet could suffer in 4Q if a strike is wide and persists. Rental car companies may return to the used car market like they did in 2021 and 2022, driving prices higher.
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