Highest Thanksgiving Day Travel Predicted in 12 Years
AAA Travel projects that 50.9 million Americans will travel 50 miles or more away from home this Thanksgiving holiday weekend, an increase of 1.6 million travelers compared with last year. Car rental rates will hit a five-year holiday high at $70 per day.

AAA projects that 45.5 million Americans (89% of travelers) are planning a road trip this Thanksgiving holiday weekend. Photo via Wikimedia/Minesweeper

AAA projects that 45.5 million Americans (89% of travelers) are planning a road trip this Thanksgiving holiday weekend. Photo via Wikimedia/Minesweeper
For the upcoming Thanksgiving holiday weekend, AAA Travel projects that 50.9 million Americans will travel 50 miles or more away from home, an increase of 1.6 million travelers compared with last year.
This represents a 3.3% increase over 2016 and the most Thanksgiving travelers since 2005. The Thanksgiving holiday travel period is defined as Wednesday Nov. 22 to Sunday Nov. 26.
AAA and INRIX, a global transportation analytics company, predict travel times in the most congested cities in the U.S. could be as much as three times longer than the optimal trip.
"Thanksgiving kicks off the start of a busy holiday season, and more thankful Americans will travel to spend time with friends and family this year," said Bill Sutherland, AAA senior vice president, travel and publishing. "A strong economy and labor market are generating rising incomes and higher consumer confidence, fueling a strong year for the travel industry, which will continue into the holiday season."
This year, 89% of all travelers (45.5 million) are planning a Thanksgiving road trip, an increase of 3.2% over last year, according to AAA. Car rental rates will hit a five-year holiday high at $70 per day. This could be due to an increase in domestic demand and cost of newer vehicles. For airfare, Americans will pay the cheapest airfare since 2013 for a round-trip flight for the top 40 domestic routes, says AAA.
When it comes to gas prices, most U.S. drivers will pay the highest Thanksgiving gas prices since 2014. The national average price for November is $2.54, 37 cents more than last November (1st-14th).
Based on historical and recent travel trends, INRIX predicts drivers will experience the worst congestion during the early evening — as early as Tuesday of Thanksgiving week — as commuters mix with holiday travelers.
"Thanksgiving has historically been one of the busiest holidays for road trips, and this year we could see record-level travel delays," said Bob Pishue, transportation analyst at INRIX. "Knowing when and where congestion will build can help drivers avoid the stress of sitting in traffic."
The worst traffic hotspot in each of the 10 most congested U.S. cities:
City | Traffic Hotspot |
|---|---|
Los Angeles, CA | I-5 S at Valley View Ave |
New York, NY | I-495 E at NY-106/NY-107 |
San Francisco, CA | I-80 E at Pinole Valley Rd |
Atlanta, GA | I-75 N at Chastain Rd |
Miami, FL | I-95 N at Congress Ave |
Washington, DC | I-95 S at US-17/US-1 |
Dallas, TX | US-75 S at I-45/I-3 |
Boston, MA | I-90 W at I-84/US-20 |
Chicago, IL | I-90 W at I-190 |
Seattle, WA | I-405 S at WA-167 |
Based on AAA.com bookings, this year’s top 10 destinations for Thanksgiving include: Orlando; Anaheim, Calif.; New York City; Honolulu; Las Vegas; Punta Cana, Dominican Republic; Cancun, Mexico; San Francisco; Kahului, Maui; and Fort Lauderdale.
More Safety

Managing Road Risk at Scale: Why Fleet Safety Needs a Data-Driven Framework
Insights from the FIA Road and Driver Safety Indexes reveal how to manage road risk on a larger scale.
Read More →
Stellantis Recalls 1.3 Million Jeep Vehicles Worldwide Over Fire Risk
Stellantis is recalling more than 1.3 million Jeep Wrangler and Gladiator models worldwide over a fire risk linked to power steering pump wiring.
Read More →
Coaching Is Not Training, Even When AI Is Doing It
AI-powered safety platforms can detect risky behaviors and deliver immediate feedback. But effective driver development still requires a foundation of training followed by coaching that reinforces those skills.
Read More →
How Emotions Behind the Wheel Can Affect Fleet Safety
During National Safety Month, fleets are encouraged to look beyond distracted driving and recognize how stress, fatigue, and emotional well-being influence driver performance and crash risk.
Read More →
Nominations Open for 2026 Fleet Safety Award
Nominations have officially opened for the 2026 Fleet Safety Award Winner.
Read More →
Turning Connected Vehicle Data Into Decisions That Matter
Fleet leaders have more data than ever, but turning that data into clear, actionable decisions remains a challenge. This white paper shows how leading organizations are using connected vehicle data to improve safety, reduce costs, and optimize fleet performance. Learn how to turn insight into action across your fleet.
Read More →
Cameras, Safety and Insurance: From Reactive Claims to Real-time Prevention
Commercial auto remains one of the most challenging and costly lines of coverage for fleet operators and insurers alike. Learn more about how to effectively address these issues from Onur Aksan, Enterprise Business Development Executive, Geotab.
Read More →
NAFA Fleet Safety Symposium to Collocate With 2026 Fleet Forward Conference
The daylong certificate program will precede the Fleet Forward Conference at the Gaylord National Harbor in Maryland.
Read More →
The Distractions You Can’t Turn Off: What Drivers Face Outside the Vehicle
Fleet drivers face constant visual, cognitive, and environmental interruptions the moment they hit the road. From roadside chaos to mental fatigue and digital overload, today’s biggest driving risks often come from outside the vehicle itself.
Read More →
FLASH Weather AI Launches First Deep-Learning Hail Prediction Model With High-Resolution Forecasting
FLASH Weather AI has launched a first-of-its-kind hail prediction model capable of forecasting hail size and arrival time at 1-kilometer resolution up to 55 minutes ahead, giving fleets and insurers critical time to prepare for severe storms.
Read More →
