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Prices and volume are not expected to plummet in 2019, but industry experts seem to feel that the best-case scenario will be a plateau, and more realistically, will fall slightly.
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Vehicle manufacturers will sell 17 million new vehicles in 2019, which would represent only a 1.3% decline from a year that recorded a third consecutive year of more than 17 million new vehicles sold, according to Oliver Strauss, chief economist for TrueCar’s ALG.
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The passenger car segment was a main contributor to the the rise in used-vehicle prices in 2018.
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Overall average wholesale prices softened in November from a year ago mostly due to 2017 prices that were elevated due to increased demand from hurricanes Harvey and Irma, even though values of former fleet vehicles increased, according to Tom Kontos, KAR Auction Services' chief economist.
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The average price for used fleet vehicles fell 2% at auction in October, but remained 6.1% higher than a year ago amid a strong month for wholesale prices, according to Tom Kontos, KAR Auction Services' chief economist.
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Deprecation was low through most of 2018. Segments such as sedans performed better than they have in years past, while trucks and SUVs continue to retain their values well.
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ALG has named Subaru and Land Rover as the winners of its 2019 Residual Value Awards for the overall mainstream and premium brand categories, according to a company announcement.
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Ford and Toyota had the most models named as having the best certified pre-owned value among 37 segments by Vincentric, the vehicle valuation firm announced.
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Wholesale compact van values experienced the biggest decline at auction last week, depreciating 1.03% week-over-week.
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Prior to 2018, sedans at auction had experienced three years of consecutive value declines. For sedan-heavy fleets, this may have meant an impact to total cost of ownership for those vehicles, as profits from remarketing them would have suffered. Now companies with sedan-heavy fleets may be finding that a window of opportunity to remarket those vehicles for better profit has emerged.
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