Automotive Fleet
MenuMENU
SearchSEARCH

2015 Resale Forecast for Full-Size Vans

The used full-size van market has remained strong throughout 2014, but it is expected to decline in 2015. Part of the reason for the strength of the used van segment is the discontinuation of traditional U.S.-style vans by OEMs as the new European-style vans are released.

by Ricky Beggs
December 15, 2014
2015 Resale Forecast for Full-Size Vans

With the completion of the current orders for the 2015 Chevrolet Express (pictured) and GMC Savana 1500 series units, the transition to the European-styled units is complete.

2 min to read


With the completion of the current orders for the 2015 Chevrolet Express (pictured) and GMC Savana 1500 series units, the transition to the European-styled units is complete.

As with the full-size pickup market, the van market is a vital piece of the recovering economy. The service industries rely on vans, especially the full-sized cargo versions, as their offices on wheels.

Ad Loading...

Over the years, I have been fortunate enough to see vehicles evolve over time, and even witness completely new models and segments come into existence. We are now witnessing the tail end of the traditional full-size van market that has served so many for work, pleasure, and group transportation, as it is dramatically changing in appearance and technology. With the completion of the current orders for the 2015 Chevrolet Express and the GMC Savana1500 series units, the transition to the European-styled units is complete.

Ad Loading...

With the new configurations, we have front-wheel drive and rear-wheel drive choices, and even a four-wheel drive option. We have seen the evolution to smaller gasoline and diesel engines. We now have multiple body sizes in both length and height. And, we have smaller, almost compact versions of most van brands.

There is another phenomenon that has taken place in the market during 2014. Almost every month, after the first quarter of this year, there have been some sales increases for traditional U.S.-style vans, sometimes as cargo versions and mostly as passenger versions.

As we gather and track the market data, and talk with the buyers and sellers of these units, while still on the auction lanes, the reason for this segment’s strength becomes clear. These used van units have been extremely popular for many years within the service industries for specialists such as plumbers, electricians, and carpet installers. With a steadily improving economy, the service industries are prospering while needing newer or additional units.

The second reason for the very minimal depreciation is the high demand for these vans within the used market due to the old-style unit no longer being manufactured. At some point the greater acceptance of the European-styled vans will take hold with used buyers. For now, you can only wish you had more of these units coming out of fleet service to run across the auction lanes.

Over the past three years the full-size van segment has had an annual depreciation of 10 percent in 2011, increasing to 11.3 percent and 11.4 percent in 2012 and 2013 respectively. The interest for these vans exploded in 2014 as depreciation fell to 5 percent. We feel the demand will continue with depreciation climbing back to the 9.5-10 percent level in 2015.

Ad Loading...

Ricky Beggs is senior vice president, editorial director at Black Book. He can be reached via email at rbeggs@blackbookusa.com.

Related:

Depreciation for Light-Duty Trucks to Rise from 2014 Levels
Depreciation for Passenger Cars to Increase in 2015

Subscribe to Our Newsletter

More Remarketing

Technician kneels beside a white commercial van, examining damage to the rear bumper and body panel while holding a tablet.
Remarketing•October 21, 2026

When Should a Fleet Repair Vehicle Damage Before Remarketing?

Not every dent, scratch, or mechanical issue is worth fixing before selling a fleet vehicle. Learn how to weigh repair costs, resale value, market demand, and downtime to determine when reconditioning pays off and when selling as-is makes more sense.

Read More →
Manheim Used Vehicle Value Index chart for September 2026, showing wholesale used-vehicle values declining to 205.9, presented in a blue graphic frame.
Remarketing•by News/Media Release•October 9, 2026

Wholesale Used-Vehicle Values Fall as Cox Automotive Cuts 2026 Forecast

Wholesale used-vehicle prices declined in September as depreciation accelerated, prompting Cox Automotive to lower its year-end forecast.

Read More →
Leadership update graphic featuring four FLD executives, from left to right, Gary Mott, Ron Sanders, Santiago Ramirez, and Richard Mallek, against a red, black, and gray background with bold “Leadership Update” lettering.
Remarketing•by Staff and News Reports•October 8, 2026

FLD Promotes Three Executives in Leadership Changes

FLD has promoted three longtime executives, naming Gary Mott CEO, Richard Mallek president, and Ron Sanders managing partner.

Read More →
Ad Loading...
Ford Pro commercial vehicles representing the types of trucks and vans eligible for the Ford Pro Advantage certified pre-owned program.
Remarketing•by Faith Howell•September 30, 2026

Ford Pro Launches Certified Pre-Owned Program for Commercial Vehicles

Ford Pro Advantage will offer certified pre-owned Class 1-7 commercial vehicles through more than 700 Ford Pro Commercial Vehicle Centers.

Read More →
Copart and ACV logos with cars in background
Remarketing•by Staff•September 10, 2026

Copart to Acquire ACV in $1.9 Billion Deal

The acquisition would expand Copart beyond its traditional salvage business into dealer-to-dealer wholesale remarketing while adding ACV’s vehicle data, inspection, and valuation technology.

Read More →
Blue bar graphs showing changes in wholesale used vehicle prices based on vehicle segments.
Remarketing•by News/Media Release•July 9, 2026

Manheim Index Shows Used-Vehicle Wholesale Prices Up 2.1% in June

The market is seeing stronger appreciation in older used vehicles this year, and the most affordable segments have been among the year’s best performers.

Read More →
Ad Loading...
Green and black bar graphs showing 2026 versus 2025 fleet sales.
Vehicle Research•by Martin Romjue•July 8, 2026

Commercial Fleet Sales Contribute To June, YTD Gains

The fleet sector has boosted its vehicle purchases at a reliable pace in the first half of this year compared with 1H 2025.

Read More →
Series of colored line graphs showing the recent history of average used listing prices.
Remarketing•by News/Media Release•June 12, 2026

Used Vehicle Prices Climb Higher As Sales Pace Slows

The higher prices at used retail reflect strong wholesale values earlier in the spring, particularly for older, more affordable vehicles.

Read More →
Dark blue bar graphs showing percentage gains in average wholesale used vehicle prices
Remarketing•by News/Media Release•June 5, 2026

Wholesale Used Vehicle Market Sustains Moderate Rise In Values, Prices

Trends continue to normalize after a strong start to the year, as consumers contend with higher gas prices in the coming summer months.

Read More →
Ad Loading...
Green and black bar graphs show May 2025 v. 2026 fleet vehicle sales into commercial, rental, and government fleet sectors.
Vehicle Research•by Martin Romjue•June 3, 2026

Commercial Fleet Sales Still Lead Sectors Despite May Mini Dip

The U.S. economy's continued growth and positive business investment are creating a favorable environment for fleet vehicle demand.

Read More →