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Advanced Car Safety Tech Will Roll Out Gradually: HDLI

December 29, 2017

Screen shot illustrating Toyota's Safety Sense Lane Departure Alert system controls. Image courtesy of Toyota.
Screen shot illustrating Toyota's Safety Sense Lane Departure Alert system controls. Image courtesy of Toyota.

When will advanced safety technologies offered in today’s luxury cars become ubiquitous among all vehicles on the road?

It’s going to take some time. The Highway Loss Data Institute (HLDI) has projected that 95% of registered vehicles in the U.S. will be equipped with automatic emergency braking in 2045 and equipped with adaptive headlights sometime after 2050.

The same percentage of registered vehicles will likely be equipped with forward collision warning, blind spot monitoring and lane-departure warning in 2043, HLDI estimated.

Rear cameras and rear parking sensors are expected to become commonplace more readily. HLDI predicted that 95% of registered vehicles will have rear cameras in 2039 and rear parking sensors in 2041.

HLDI based its predictions on analyses of data from auto manufacturers. But the institute offered a caveat.

“Federal mandates, safety ratings that reward certain features, and other factors can speed up the rate at which technology ends up in new models and therefore in registered vehicles,” HLDI noted in a report about the estimates.

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